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Bayesian statistics (302)

Causal inference (27)

Health economics (220)

Hierarchical models (64)

London (36)

Miscellanea (107)

Perso (141)

R (94)

Software (77)

Gianluca Baio’s blog

Bayesian statistics, health economics and random stuff

Measuring the effect of the hostile environment policy

16 February, 2024

Research, teaching and nuclear disasters

12 September, 2023

Summary function in survhe

blendR — the package

11 December, 2022

Oh, Vienna!

6 November, 2022

Another migration

10 October, 2022

new BCEA

25 August, 2022

Summer school in Lausanne

survHE light

18 January, 2022

Armitage lecture

12 November, 2021

New version

2 October, 2021

Euros prediction (5)

Euros prediction (4)

Don’t just take my word for it

Euros prediction (3)

Euros prediction (2)

Euros prediction

The duke of hazard

What if there’s no censoring?…

Heading there

EVPPI in Windows

Little bugs in survHE

Master to main

5 February, 2021

Fixes in survHE

18 January, 2021

My thoughts on the R-HTA workshops

14 October, 2020

Books and code

CannaBayes trial

Another referendum

xls2BCEA

Refactor

INXS

Tutorials

Open day

Postponed

missingHE update

Expert opinion (again)

Book out (nearly)

Hypothetical short course

In case you don’t know it

Like a bad husband

Expert opinion

26 February, 2020

VoI world tour

20 February, 2020

Recruitment

6 February, 2020

Come and work with us!

12 December, 2019

Have I thought this through?

25 November, 2019

New dates for the summer school

25 November, 2019

Sharing (slides) is caring…

25 November, 2019

Workshop at UCL

25 November, 2019

Available to preorder

11 November, 2019

Happy Birthday

24 September, 2019

Health economics training in the Autumn

30 August, 2019

A couple of things…

My talks in Albacete

Nearly Bye Bye, Florence

Job @ Oxford

Kings of Lyon

Make R Great Again

Job in local council

RSS feed

Changes in BCEA

Prosecutor’s fallacy — Brexit style

RSS-UCL Conference on Teaching Statistics in Higher Education

Busy summer ahead

15 February, 2019

Stats in the newspapers

15 February, 2019

My talk @ Imperial Infectious Disease

24 January, 2019

Applications open

17 January, 2019

Mistakes in the book

8 January, 2019

New stuff in BCEA

11 December, 2018

Lots on missing

27 November, 2018

Scandi-(snow)blanche

27 November, 2018

A week in Barcelona (2)

14 November, 2018

A week in Barcelona (1)

12 November, 2018

survHE new release

19 October, 2018

Todos deberiamos ser Bayesianos(?)

16 October, 2018

WoRkshop in ToRonto

16 October, 2018

Seminar @ UCL

2 October, 2018

More health economics in R

23 September, 2018

My talk @ York

19 September, 2018

survHE update

10 September, 2018

Wake me up, when September ends…

4 September, 2018

Lectureship in Health Economics @ UCL

21 August, 2018

Sleek & Shiny

R in HTA workshop

Missing you

Fake code

Face the music

Summer school: check

Busy talking

αντιο σας

Almost full

Howyoudoin?

Magna Graecia and Cambria

Bayesian supermarket

Welcome home!

Tales and stuff…

The migration

Not long until abstract submission deadline…

Free tweets

HTA R Us

Significance early-career writing competition

Job advert

Commonwealth Games

21 February, 2018

Acro-juggling

6 February, 2018

PhD studentships @ UCL

21 January, 2018

501 days of Summer (school)

19 January, 2018

If you’ve got an issue…

18 January, 2018

500 days of Summer (school)

17 January, 2018

Bayes 2018/Bayesian Biostatistics

16 January, 2018

Brexit^{-1}

15 January, 2018

MSc studentships @ UCL

10 January, 2018

A Bayesian analysis of polls in the Catalan elections

22 December, 2017

Does Peppa Pig encourage inappropriate use of primary care resources?

19 December, 2017

Unpleasantville

18 December, 2017

βCEA

21 November, 2017

La lotteria dei rigori

20 November, 2017

Relocation relocation relocation

14 November, 2017

At the Oscars!

10 November, 2017

The Alan Turing’s project

17 October, 2017

Summer school in Leuven

9 October, 2017

Building the EVSI

8 September, 2017

Planes trains and automobiles

7 September, 2017

A couple of things…

30 August, 2017

When simple becomes complicated…

14 August, 2017

Picky people (2)

Conflict of interest

Picky people

Homecoming (of sort…)

Surprise?

Break

The Inbetweeners

The code (and other stuff…)

The swingers

(Too) slowly but surely?

Quick update

Through time & space

Flash forward sampling

Face value

Snap

Post-doc

Hope & Faith

Workshop on The Regression Discontinuity Design

The greedy baker with a full barrel and a drunken wife

Coming soon!

21 February, 2017

Three rooms left…

26 January, 2017

Face value

23 January, 2017

New year resolution

13 January, 2017

Movie stars

16 December, 2016

Bayes 2017

15 December, 2016

PhD opportunity!

15 December, 2016

Nomen omen

9 December, 2016

Good stuff around

2 December, 2016

Come & play with us!

23 November, 2016

Summer School: Bayesian Methods in Health Economics

21 November, 2016

Elections and the law of large numbers

19 November, 2016

Lectureship @ UCL

8 November, 2016

Always take the weather with you…

5 November, 2016

Masters of some

10 October, 2016

Shiny happy people in the land of the Czar

7 October, 2016

LGM 2016

15 September, 2016

The fix

15 September, 2016

Careful whisper

13 September, 2016

Sad night

26 August, 2016

National lottery

17 August, 2016

Finish line (nearly)

Bad medical journal

Fire and mouse alarm

Silver lining

My week at ISBA (2)

My week at ISBA

Workshop on Infectious Disease Modelling in Public Health Policy: Current status and challenges (yet again)

Large enough probability?

Bayes 2016

BCEA 2.2-3 is out

How to be Bayesian and spare yourself a dreadful afternoon with your stupid football team losing the derby

Workshop on Infectious Disease Modelling in Public Health Policy: Current status and challenges (again)

Workshop on Infectious Disease Modelling in Public Health Policy: Current status and challenges

The internship

What’s my job again?

Speak for yourself

Advanced Bayesian Modelling with BUGS course

Slightly off (by 26911)

Italians do it better!

Short course on Statistical Methods for the Value of Information Analysis

2 MSc Scholarships in Medical Statistics

Semi-finished

Knitt(r)ing

16 February, 2016

Theta Rounds

15 February, 2016

The aviator

11 February, 2016

Who do you think I am?

10 February, 2016

The value of being informed about a short course

4 February, 2016

Young folks

3 February, 2016

I will survive!

25 January, 2016

The guide

4 January, 2016

Post mortem

22 December, 2015

Political Forecasting Machine - The Spanish Edition

19 December, 2015

ERCIM/CMStat 2015

12 December, 2015

The Master plan

12 December, 2015

Two peas in a pod

7 December, 2015

Good value

10 November, 2015

Milano 2

7 November, 2015

More on stepped wedge

7 November, 2015

Bayes 2016

30 October, 2015

Our new R package

29 October, 2015

Solicited

20 October, 2015

Not so NICE…

16 October, 2015

PhDeidippides

6 October, 2015

Two PLOS Two

29 September, 2015

UCL Partners Biostatistics Network Symposium 2016

24 September, 2015

My compliments

23 September, 2015

Roller poster

23 September, 2015

Launch(ed)

22 September, 2015

In my humble opinion…

15 September, 2015

Home alone

9 September, 2015

Aren’t you on holiday?

20 August, 2015

Job @ UCL

20 August, 2015

Launch party

The mathematics of love

Our short course

The good the bad and the ugly

Going to iHEA

Back to the future (or the day of the crises)

Stress testing

Back log

Job advert

Survival of the fittest (health economic model)

Video seminar

My talk @ the London Machine Learning Meetup

Beta unblockers

Bayes 2015

That time of the year…

ICTM Conference

Webinar

SPDEVPPI (2)

SPDEVPPI

There’s no I in Mutual

Stata goes Bayesian

Conflict of interest

Health economic combat

Unsolicitors

House of stats

Utility bills

Banned!

Cannabis on trial

Non-trivial wedges

GAS workshop

1 February, 2015

More than Word

30 January, 2015

A bunch of papers

20 January, 2015

DIA Joint Adaptive Design and Bayesian Statistics Conference

19 January, 2015

No-go zones?

12 January, 2015

Sabbath-ical

5 January, 2015

Advance notice

4 January, 2015

New Year’s fireworks

31 December, 2014

Lazy(?)

16 December, 2014

NICE and the cost-effectiveness thresholds: Can good intentions compensate for bad practice?

16 December, 2014

The smartest guys in the room

7 December, 2014

Bayes Pharma 2015 - call for abstracts

28 November, 2014

Good intention/bad practice?

28 November, 2014

Another job

18 November, 2014

Secretary

18 November, 2014

Best job ever

14 November, 2014

How do you spell your name?

12 November, 2014

“Football”… I mean “soccer”… I mean “football”…

29 October, 2014

ISPOR posters

27 October, 2014

1 in 5 million

14 October, 2014

Bayes of thrones

5 October, 2014

Evil companies stereotypes and coffee

5 October, 2014

Book of the year

24 September, 2014

Mini-tour

19 September, 2014

BCEA 2.1

17 September, 2014

B my J

8 September, 2014

Unbelievable(?)

8 September, 2014

No surprises

4 September, 2014

RSSheffield

27 August, 2014

Workshop on Efficient Methods for Value of Information

20 August, 2014

(Some) Spaces available

14 August, 2014

Two weights and two measures?

11 August, 2014

Pat pat

The Oracle (8) - let’s go all the way!

The Oracle (7)

Short course: Bayesian methods in health economics

Break!

The Oracle (6)

The Oracle (5. Or: Calibration calibration calibration…)

The Oracle (4)

The Oracle (3)

The Oracle (2)

The Oracle (1)

At the Copa

Enjoy the silence

History hour

RSS Young Statisticians Writing Competition

Priorities

UCL Biostats Network Symposium 3

In the media

On demand (but on a very serious topic)

Ground-breaking!?

Bayes Pharma 2014 - final programme

Books & roses (& chatty taxi-drivers)

My talks @ Universitat de Girona

The Granville incident

Bayes Pharma 2014 - nearly there…

Causal Inference in Health Economic and Social Sciences

Seven (a-day)

The sampling frame is a list but not every list is a sampling frame

Canada et al

Man at work(-ish)

Money(proper foot)ball?

Issue with thinning in R2OpenBUGS vs R2jags

Fun with flags

More statins for everybody!

15 February, 2014

Sure thing principle

13 February, 2014

Mugged

8 February, 2014

BMHE @ University of Alberta (reds vs blues)

4 February, 2014

LaTeX can be arsey but boy is it good?!

30 January, 2014

BMHE & BCEA get a shout in published paper

15 January, 2014

Job @ UCD

13 January, 2014

Porn capital of the porn nation

10 January, 2014

Bayes 2014 coming up nicely!

8 January, 2014

New year new cost-effectiveness thresholds?

8 January, 2014

Significant news

7 January, 2014

Open access

17 December, 2013

Christmas came early (or who’s the geekiest in the family?)

16 December, 2013

Death of a statistician from Surbiton

16 December, 2013

Last (talk before) Christmas

9 December, 2013

Update on Bayes Pharma 2014

8 December, 2013

Newest release of BCEA

2 December, 2013

Lost

30 November, 2013

My talk at the LSHTM

30 November, 2013

PSMR 2014

27 November, 2013

BCEs0 version 1.1 on CRAN

16 November, 2013

Loophole

14 November, 2013

Imperialstan

11 November, 2013

Keynote speaker

9 November, 2013

Rescue remedy

7 November, 2013

Bayesian Biostatistics 2014

5 November, 2013

Typos in BMHE

5 November, 2013

My talk @ the Dutch Chemometrics Symposium

4 November, 2013

Fellow me

29 October, 2013

Bad teacher(s)

21 October, 2013

The Big Bayes theorem theory

21 October, 2013

R2jags & BCEA (& the examples from BMHE)

19 October, 2013

Le Tour

16 October, 2013

Election night(s)

15 October, 2013

Road trip

15 October, 2013

Self-syndication

11 October, 2013

The (third) runway bride

9 October, 2013

Happy birthday

8 October, 2013

Video killed the radio stars

8 October, 2013

Nice & weird people in the Canary island (oh: I went there for work too!)

6 October, 2013

My talk @ GSK

24 September, 2013

You stole my idea!

24 September, 2013

Parum PI

20 September, 2013

Attendance in parliament (in Italy)

16 September, 2013

BCEA in UseR!

13 September, 2013

Biostatistics seminar

10 September, 2013

Jobs @ UCL

8 September, 2013

Program chair

8 September, 2013

Visitors

3 September, 2013

The desertification of the NHS

28 August, 2013

Champions league

21 August, 2013

Rock’n’roll stars

17 August, 2013

No octagon!

Don’t cry for me Argentina

BCEA 2.0

JSM 2013

Mugatu is a health economist

BCEs0

Interview

Zero to hero

Day out in Bristol (2)

Day out in Bristol

Plan B

Bayes 250 - as it happened

The pretender

BCEA 1.3.0

Big in Japan

Running time

You sure Mike?

Daily bias in the mail

UseR 2013

Simpson gets married (and divorced?)

Bayes Pharma 2013 (4)

Bayes Pharma 2013 (3)

Bayes Pharma 2013 (2)

Bayes Pharma 2013 (1)

Handouts & Beamer

Alternative diseases

What the BBC isn’t telling you

Posteriors vs predictives

Russian dolls

Most squares

Health economics and sex workers

Boomerang

Petty in pink

Bayes 250

Suit up! (which I didn’t)

Job advert

Fun day

PSMR (short course at UCL)

Making friends

Bayes2013

Culling vs Vaccinating?

27 February, 2013

Oh what’s the point?

27 February, 2013

Organic cannabis

20 February, 2013

Fizzy tax

18 February, 2013

… and we’re back!

4 February, 2013

A few things I learned…

19 January, 2013

(Dis)Utility

13 January, 2013

Quiet Saturday

12 January, 2013

Happy new year

10 January, 2013

XY

31 December, 2012

Italian elections (1)

19 December, 2012

Nataniele Argento

13 December, 2012

Thriller (or the return of the living dead?)

9 December, 2012

Seminar next week

4 December, 2012

Marking your own homework

30 November, 2012

Grant (and missing data)

27 November, 2012

The perks (and quirks) of being a referee

25 November, 2012

No junk mail please

24 November, 2012

(Nearly) sold out

17 November, 2012

Porn economics?

17 November, 2012

When in Rome…

15 November, 2012

You can’t play a broken link

12 November, 2012

Gotcha!

7 November, 2012

Mapping in health economics

5 November, 2012

Hand picking

4 November, 2012

(B)AIES

31 October, 2012

Cox & Mayo

31 October, 2012

More football

29 October, 2012

Ben pharma

25 October, 2012

Bayes for President!

23 October, 2012

Thank you for smoking (and also doing take-away)

22 October, 2012

Badger calling

19 October, 2012

Scotland don’t leave us!

17 October, 2012

Willy Wonga & the money factory

11 October, 2012

Laplace’s liberation army

8 October, 2012

Turin break

8 October, 2012

What I should really blog about

8 October, 2012

Goldacre mine

3 October, 2012

Ordinal football

1 October, 2012

The nineties are not cost-effective

29 September, 2012

Making babies with Markov models

28 September, 2012

Twitter Economics

25 September, 2012

Mixed treatment counterfactual Obama

23 September, 2012

Twinned

19 September, 2012

INLA functions (yet again)

17 September, 2012

BCEA examples

13 September, 2012

League (kitchen) table

12 September, 2012

ISBA/BioPharm

11 September, 2012

Domino effect

10 September, 2012

INLA functions (continued)

10 September, 2012

Run keeping to keep running

9 September, 2012

Olympic graduation

5 September, 2012

Old habits…

3 September, 2012

Stan

3 September, 2012

Another bunch of R (and JAGS) scripts

31 August, 2012

Serendipity (again)

29 August, 2012

I hate that guy!

28 August, 2012

‘Seriously George: worse than Clegg?’

28 August, 2012

UCL symposium - October 18th

28 August, 2012

INLA functions

23 August, 2012

‘Silvio the NHS and Tasmania: what a combo!’

23 August, 2012

Finding thetas in Europe

22 August, 2012

How do we judge worse than the worst?

18 August, 2012

Sweet 16

14 August, 2012

+18 medals but plus or minus what?

A bunch of R (and JAGS) scripts

Curiosity killed the cat

Who are the best team in the Olympics?

Non-counterfactual anyone?

You’re one of my kind

One paninO two paninI

Moaning packing and proof-reading

Stay classy unauthorised migrant

Inspire a generation (to hate the Olympics?)

The BCEA Supremacy

Cool cool maps

Should the NHS fund men pregnancy?

Vorsprung durch technik bias (2)

Vorsprung durch technik bias

Cakes tea heights and pick up trucks

Pregnancy rates

(Semi)automatic indexing in LaTeX

Under the Tuscan sun

Welcome home sir

τὰ Ὀλύμπια

When the going gets tough…

Bayesian hierarchical glaucoma

Biscuit

Storm after the storm

The next Harry Potter?

Of grants and grunts

Euro 2012 predictions

Norway

Ready(?) for Trondheim

England is the new Spain

Bayes Pharma 2012 (again)

Eurovision again

Marking exam papers

We’re on technorati

HPV paper

Eurovision contest

Submitting a package to CRAN

Book submitted

Amazing EPL

Bayes Pharma 2012

BCEA on CRAN!

BCEA is coming!